The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Eastern Africa: four socio-economic scenarios
This report presents 4 scenarios for the future of food security, agriculture, livelihoods and environments in East Africa. These scenarios were developed by the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in collaboration with a wide range of regional stakeholders. The report discusses the theory and development process
of the scenarios, then presents detailed scenario narratives, semi-quantitative assumptions for a range of indicators, and finally outputs generated by 2 agricultural economic models, IMPACT and GLOBIOM. The report goes on to discuss the key results from the scenarios and then to describe the use of the scenarios in processes to guide decision-making in the context of East African food security and climate adaptation.
Citación
Vervoort JM, Palazzo A, Mason-D’Croz D, Ericksen PJ, Thornton PK, Kristjanson P, Förch W, Herrero M, Havlik P, Jost C, Rowlands H. 2013. The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Eastern Africa: four socio-economic scenarios. CCAFS Working Paper No. 63. Copenhagen, Denmark: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS).